Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 53.8%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 54.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 55.2%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Lizotte
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Lizotte
Nosek
Last 10: Lizotte 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
4
Lizotte
Nosek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
8
3
Lizotte
Nosek
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
7
Lizotte
Nosek
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
54.9% (2,674)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
44.7% (47)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
47.4% (424)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Nosek
Home
49.5% (1,840)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Lizotte
Nosek
P1
48.0%
52.3%
P2
52.3%
54.0%
P3
50.5%
54.6%
OT
75.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:42 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |