Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 60.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 63.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 65.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Lizotte
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Lizotte
Seguin
Last 9: Lizotte 2-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Lizotte
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Lizotte
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Lizotte
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
55.0% (713)
-2.5%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
56.7% (104)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
47.2% (53)
-5.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Seguin
Home
51.4% (383)
56.2% (443)
Away
50.9% (424)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Lizotte
Seguin
P1
48.8%
54.2%
P2
51.0%
52.9%
P3
53.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |