Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.8% vs Seguin 51.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 76.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 51.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Lizotte
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Lizotte
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (299)
54.8% (135)
-1.3%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
58.3% (24)
-58.3%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (44)
26.7% (15)
+11.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lizotte is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Lizotte shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Seguin
Home
52.0% (198)
47.4% (95)
Away
49.7% (149)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Lizotte
Seguin
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
50.9%
57.1%
P3
52.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |