Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 69.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 69.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Lizotte
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Lizotte
Seguin
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Lizotte
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Lizotte
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
3
Lizotte
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.1%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
55.9% (810)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
49.3% (762)
-7.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Seguin
Home
49.5% (1,840)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Lizotte
Seguin
P1
48.0%
52.8%
P2
52.3%
53.3%
P3
50.5%
54.7%
OT
75.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |