Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 50.9% vs Larkin 54.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 71.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Wheeler
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Wheeler
Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
0
Wheeler
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (104)
53.6% (886)
+0.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
59.3% (317)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.7% (152)
-15.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Wheeler is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Wheeler shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Larkin
Home
53.8% (65)
56.6% (700)
Away
49.2% (61)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Wheeler
Larkin
P1
46.2%
55.4%
P2
56.5%
54.7%
P3
51.2%
52.7%
Final 5 min
61.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |