Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 54.3% vs Larkin 55.0% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 59.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.1%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 52.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Wheeler
Larkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (34)
55.9% (943)
+5.9%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
57.4% (244)
+3.3%
On even strength, Wheeler has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Wheeler is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Wheeler shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Larkin
Home
46.2% (26)
56.0% (654)
Away
72.2% (36)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Wheeler
Larkin
P1
76.9%
54.4%
P2
62.1%
55.9%
P3
50.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
76.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
61.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%