Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Coyle 47.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 71.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 69.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 57.5%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Horvat
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Coyle
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
3
Horvat
Coyle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
46.8% (201)
+3.2%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
41.3% (46)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
100.0% (1)
-55.1%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Horvat is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Horvat shoots left. Coyle is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Horvat
Coyle
Home
52.0% (767)
46.3% (149)
Away
48.8% (731)
45.5% (99)
By Period
Horvat
Coyle
P1
47.1%
43.7%
P2
49.4%
46.3%
P3
54.3%
49.4%
OT
57.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
43.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |