Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Coyle 51.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.1%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Horvat
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Horvat
Coyle
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Coyle
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
7
Horvat
Coyle
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
53.0% (1,046)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
57.6% (144)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
43.6% (287)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Horvat
Coyle
Home
54.2% (714)
54.5% (719)
Away
53.6% (705)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Horvat
Coyle
P1
53.5%
51.1%
P2
56.3%
50.0%
P3
53.5%
53.3%
OT
28.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 15, 2023 | OT | 03:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2023 | OT | 01:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |