Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Coyle 50.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 27-16 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 53.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Horvat
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
16
(43 meetings)
27
16
Horvat
Coyle
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
14
5
Horvat
Coyle
19 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Horvat
Coyle
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
5
Horvat
Coyle
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
52.3% (811)
+3.0%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
44.3% (61)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
44.8% (181)
+1.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Horvat
Coyle
Home
58.2% (469)
49.0% (537)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.1% (516)
By Period
Horvat
Coyle
P1
59.6%
48.7%
P2
53.1%
49.6%
P3
55.5%
53.1%
OT
55.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
59.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |