Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Coyle 49.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 68.9%
Defensive zone
Coyle 71.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 70.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Horvat
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Horvat
Coyle
Last 8: Horvat 3-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Horvat
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
50.6% (921)
+5.0%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
51.0% (96)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
30.1% (83)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Coyle is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (759).
Home / Away
Horvat
Coyle
Home
58.8% (724)
51.8% (517)
Away
55.3% (751)
46.7% (583)
By Period
Horvat
Coyle
P1
57.0%
49.2%
P2
57.5%
52.8%
P3
57.0%
44.8%
OT
36.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2021 | OT | 02:35 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |