Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Tierney 45.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 50.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Horvat
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Horvat
Tierney
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Tierney
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Tierney
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Tierney
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
43.6% (321)
+8.5%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
50.0% (16)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
40.0% (5)
+4.9%
On even strength, Horvat has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Tierney is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tierney
Home
53.1% (420)
46.5% (127)
Away
49.8% (428)
42.3% (215)
By Period
Horvat
Tierney
P1
52.4%
42.7%
P2
49.3%
39.2%
P3
52.8%
48.8%
Final 5 min
53.0%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 13:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |