Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Tierney 49.8% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 62.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 59.0%
Neutral zone
Tierney 60.9%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Horvat
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Horvat
Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
0
2
Horvat
Tierney
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Tierney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
50.4% (454)
+5.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
48.3% (58)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
36.8% (19)
+12.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Tierney is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tierney
Home
58.8% (724)
53.3% (289)
Away
55.3% (751)
45.5% (242)
By Period
Horvat
Tierney
P1
57.0%
50.9%
P2
57.5%
46.7%
P3
57.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |