Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 36 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Tierney 49.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 72-43 in 115 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 74.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Horvat
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
72
-
43
(115 meetings)
72
43
Horvat
Tierney
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
29
7
Horvat
Tierney
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
14
19
Horvat
Tierney
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
29
17
Horvat
Tierney
46 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
49.3% (5,342)
+4.6%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
52.3% (342)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
46.6% (857)
+0.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tierney
Home
56.0% (8,355)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Horvat
Tierney
P1
54.1%
49.3%
P2
54.4%
47.7%
P3
55.0%
50.5%
OT
49.6%
47.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:05 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |