Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tierney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Tierney 47.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 52.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Horvat
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Horvat
Tierney
Last 9: Horvat 5-4 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Tierney
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
1
3
Horvat
Tierney
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
46.6% (193)
+8.1%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
66.7% (3)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
47.5% (40)
+4.6%
On even strength, Horvat has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Tierney is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tierney
Home
59.8% (853)
47.9% (121)
Away
53.8% (832)
46.1% (115)
By Period
Horvat
Tierney
P1
55.0%
44.1%
P2
58.3%
50.0%
P3
57.8%
46.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |