Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Tierney 46.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Horvat
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
13
(34 meetings)
21
13
Horvat
Tierney
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
2
Horvat
Tierney
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
7
Horvat
Tierney
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
4
Horvat
Tierney
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
46.4% (487)
+4.3%
Power Play
65.3% (213)
77.8% (9)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
38.3% (94)
+5.6%
On power play, Tierney has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Horvat shoots left. Tierney is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Horvat
Tierney
Home
54.1% (599)
49.3% (286)
Away
51.8% (626)
42.1% (304)
By Period
Horvat
Tierney
P1
50.8%
48.5%
P2
50.0%
41.1%
P3
57.7%
48.1%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
52.9%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:05 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |