Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Malkin 49.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 69.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 53.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Horvat
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Horvat
Malkin
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Horvat
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Malkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Horvat
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
49.0% (811)
+5.7%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
55.8% (43)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
50.0% (2)
+2.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Home / Away
Horvat
Malkin
Home
59.8% (853)
52.3% (438)
Away
53.8% (832)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Horvat
Malkin
P1
55.0%
51.3%
P2
58.3%
50.8%
P3
57.8%
45.0%
OT
44.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |