Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Malkin 46.4% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.4%
Defensive zone
Malkin 62.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 71.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Horvat
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Horvat
Malkin
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
3
Horvat
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Malkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
45.5% (602)
+13.1%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
50.0% (30)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
100.0% (1)
-54.3%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +54.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Horvat
Malkin
Home
59.2% (684)
47.5% (326)
Away
57.0% (635)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Horvat
Malkin
P1
57.9%
49.3%
P2
55.4%
44.7%
P3
61.5%
42.3%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |