Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Malkin 48.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.1%
Defensive zone
Malkin 55.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Horvat
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Horvat
Malkin
Last 7: Horvat 3-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Horvat
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
47.9% (776)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
66.7% (24)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
100.0% (1)
-48.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Horvat
Malkin
Home
54.2% (714)
49.6% (405)
Away
53.6% (705)
47.5% (396)
By Period
Horvat
Malkin
P1
53.5%
49.6%
P2
56.3%
47.2%
P3
53.5%
48.5%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |