Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Gaudreau 50.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 53.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 57.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 58.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Horvat
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Horvat
Gaudreau
Last 8: Horvat 4-4 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Gaudreau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Horvat
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
49.1% (733)
+6.5%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
60.0% (80)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
48.6% (109)
+0.6%
On even strength, Horvat has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Gaudreau is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gaudreau
Home
58.8% (724)
53.0% (483)
Away
55.3% (751)
46.7% (439)
By Period
Horvat
Gaudreau
P1
57.0%
53.5%
P2
57.5%
47.5%
P3
57.0%
49.5%
OT
36.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |