Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 87.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Horvat
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Horvat
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Horvat
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
3
Horvat
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
49.0% (408)
+4.5%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
68.0% (25)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
49.1% (114)
+2.2%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gaudreau
Home
54.2% (714)
50.8% (319)
Away
53.6% (705)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Horvat
Gaudreau
P1
53.5%
53.4%
P2
56.3%
47.4%
P3
53.5%
50.0%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |