Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Horvat
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Horvat
Gaudreau
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Gaudreau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Gaudreau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
49.2% (858)
+9.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
39.0% (41)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
46.0% (198)
-0.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gaudreau
Home
59.2% (684)
47.1% (546)
Away
57.0% (635)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Horvat
Gaudreau
P1
57.9%
46.8%
P2
55.4%
46.8%
P3
61.5%
51.1%
OT
53.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |