Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Kotkaniemi 50.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 66.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
49.8% (309)
+5.8%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
64.5% (31)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
50.0% (4)
-0.8%
On even strength, Horvat has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Home
58.8% (724)
51.7% (203)
Away
55.3% (751)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
P1
57.0%
49.5%
P2
57.5%
50.4%
P3
57.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |