Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 59.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 53.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
51.7% (586)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
48.1% (52)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
62.5% (8)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Home
54.2% (714)
49.5% (313)
Away
53.6% (705)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
P1
53.5%
54.5%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
53.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |