Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 81.0%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 84.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 81.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 82.3%
17.7%
82.3%
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
18
(25 meetings)
7
18
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
6
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
5
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
7
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
51.8% (637)
+2.9%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
48.2% (56)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
42.9% (7)
+9.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
Home
59.8% (853)
53.1% (339)
Away
53.8% (832)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Horvat
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.0%
48.3%
P2
58.3%
55.0%
P3
57.8%
50.4%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |