Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Horvat
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
1
Horvat
Pavelski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
52.5% (570)
+3.1%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
54.5% (145)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
44.4% (36)
+4.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pavelski
Home
58.8% (724)
55.0% (391)
Away
55.3% (751)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Horvat
Pavelski
P1
57.0%
50.8%
P2
57.5%
55.0%
P3
57.0%
52.0%
OT
36.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
57.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |