Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 54.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 60.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Horvat
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
52.3% (560)
+2.4%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
57.5% (113)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
62.5% (16)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pavelski
Home
59.8% (853)
54.2% (360)
Away
53.8% (832)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Horvat
Pavelski
P1
55.0%
54.5%
P2
58.3%
56.7%
P3
57.8%
50.8%
OT
44.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%