Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Toews 56.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 67.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Horvat
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Toews
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
54.9% (1,229)
-2.8%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
62.7% (354)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
54.3% (92)
-9.4%
On power play, Toews has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Toews is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,050).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toews
Home
53.1% (420)
57.6% (838)
Away
49.8% (428)
55.4% (837)
By Period
Horvat
Toews
P1
52.4%
58.0%
P2
49.3%
54.4%
P3
52.8%
56.7%
OT
42.9%
64.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |