Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Toews 58.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 61.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 78.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 76.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Horvat
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Horvat
Toews
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
1
Horvat
Toews
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
58.0% (901)
-2.4%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
69.5% (226)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
51.7% (209)
-2.5%
On power play, Toews has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toews
Home
58.8% (724)
59.3% (637)
Away
55.3% (751)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Horvat
Toews
P1
57.0%
61.5%
P2
57.5%
55.2%
P3
57.0%
60.0%
OT
36.4%
70.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |