Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Toews 61.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 67.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 66.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 71.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Horvat
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horvat
Toews
Last 5: Horvat 1-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Horvat
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Horvat
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
61.1% (650)
-6.4%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
71.9% (192)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
59.6% (99)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toews
Home
59.8% (853)
64.8% (560)
Away
53.8% (832)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Horvat
Toews
P1
55.0%
62.3%
P2
58.3%
63.9%
P3
57.8%
62.8%
OT
44.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |