Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Toews 60.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 55.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Horvat
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Toews
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Horvat
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
62.5% (696)
-7.2%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
59.6% (141)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
46.9% (32)
-0.4%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Horvat
Toews
Home
58.2% (469)
60.9% (435)
Away
54.0% (544)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Horvat
Toews
P1
59.6%
59.8%
P2
53.1%
65.7%
P3
55.5%
58.8%
OT
55.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |