Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Norris 51.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 53.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 59.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Horvat
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horvat
Norris
Last 6: Horvat 3-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Horvat
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Horvat
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.2% (886)
+4.4%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
59.0% (83)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
38.8% (67)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Horvat
Norris
Home
58.8% (724)
55.6% (487)
Away
55.3% (751)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Horvat
Norris
P1
57.0%
54.8%
P2
57.5%
51.3%
P3
57.0%
48.0%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |