Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 29 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Norris 52.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 39-36 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 56.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 56.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Horvat
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
36
(75 meetings)
39
36
Horvat
Norris
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
17
12
Horvat
Norris
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
9
Horvat
Norris
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
11
15
Horvat
Norris
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
52.5% (3,057)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
53.7% (404)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
45.4% (240)
+1.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Horvat
Norris
Home
56.0% (8,355)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Horvat
Norris
P1
54.1%
55.6%
P2
54.4%
51.4%
P3
55.0%
50.1%
OT
49.6%
40.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |