Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Norris 53.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Horvat
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Norris
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Norris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Horvat
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
53.6% (560)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
56.0% (109)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
53.1% (98)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Horvat
Norris
Home
59.2% (684)
53.6% (373)
Away
57.0% (635)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Horvat
Norris
P1
57.9%
61.8%
P2
55.4%
51.7%
P3
61.5%
49.8%
OT
53.8%
27.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |