Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Hayes 38.9% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 88.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Horvat
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Hayes
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
35.4% (362)
+17.3%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
52.9% (17)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
0.0% (2)
+39.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Horvat is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (932).
Horvat shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hayes
Home
53.1% (723)
36.8% (212)
Away
48.8% (770)
34.9% (169)
By Period
Horvat
Hayes
P1
51.1%
40.3%
P2
52.6%
31.1%
P3
48.8%
34.2%
OT
57.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |