Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Hayes 49.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Horvat
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Hayes
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
48.5% (557)
+6.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
53.3% (107)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
58.3% (12)
-6.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hayes
Home
59.8% (853)
50.8% (313)
Away
53.8% (832)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Horvat
Hayes
P1
55.0%
52.3%
P2
58.3%
47.7%
P3
57.8%
48.4%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |