Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Hayes 56.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 74.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Horvat
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Horvat
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
56.6% (724)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
57.0% (79)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
65.7% (35)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hayes
Home
54.2% (714)
58.0% (405)
Away
53.6% (705)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Horvat
Hayes
P1
53.5%
54.7%
P2
56.3%
55.7%
P3
53.5%
60.2%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |