Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Hayes 51.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 57.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Horvat
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Horvat
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Horvat
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
51.6% (386)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
53.2% (47)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
60.0% (20)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hayes
Home
59.2% (684)
50.5% (200)
Away
57.0% (635)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Horvat
Hayes
P1
57.9%
58.8%
P2
55.4%
49.3%
P3
61.5%
48.0%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |