Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs McTavish 50.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 85.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Horvat
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Horvat
McTavish
Last 6: Horvat 6-0 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
McTavish
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
51.1% (769)
+7.5%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
50.6% (178)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
28.6% (14)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. McTavish is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Home / Away
Horvat
McTavish
Home
59.2% (684)
52.3% (461)
Away
57.0% (635)
49.2% (500)
By Period
Horvat
McTavish
P1
57.9%
51.5%
P2
55.4%
54.0%
P3
61.5%
47.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |