Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs McTavish 49.0% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.4%
Defensive zone
McTavish 65.8%
Neutral zone
McTavish 63.0%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Horvat
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
McTavish
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Horvat
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
2
Horvat
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
47.6% (616)
+7.7%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
57.8% (102)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
33.3% (6)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. McTavish is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Horvat
McTavish
Home
58.2% (469)
52.2% (389)
Away
54.0% (544)
45.1% (335)
By Period
Horvat
McTavish
P1
59.6%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
47.9%
P3
55.5%
49.0%
OT
55.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |