Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs McTavish 48.7% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Horvat
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Horvat
McTavish
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
McTavish
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Horvat
McTavish
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
McTavish
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
48.2% (2,788)
+5.7%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
52.6% (435)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
34.3% (35)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. McTavish is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,155).
Home / Away
Horvat
McTavish
Home
56.0% (8,355)
49.8% (1,678)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.4% (1,580)
By Period
Horvat
McTavish
P1
54.1%
50.0%
P2
54.4%
47.8%
P3
55.0%
48.4%
OT
49.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |