Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Duchene 54.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 72.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Horvat
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Horvat
Duchene
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
6
Horvat
Duchene
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Horvat
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
55.4% (1,013)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
56.3% (192)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
41.2% (17)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Horvat shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Horvat
Duchene
Home
57.2% (987)
56.2% (642)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Horvat
Duchene
P1
53.9%
56.2%
P2
53.7%
56.5%
P3
53.6%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |