Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Duchene 51.6% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Horvat
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
51.2% (324)
+4.1%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
60.4% (53)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
16.7% (6)
+29.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Horvat
Duchene
Home
58.2% (469)
51.6% (182)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Horvat
Duchene
P1
59.6%
49.6%
P2
53.1%
56.2%
P3
55.5%
48.6%
OT
55.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%