Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Duchene 52.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 90.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 69.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Horvat
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Horvat
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
53.9% (193)
+0.8%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
49.2% (65)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
100.0% (1)
-47.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Horvat
Duchene
Home
59.8% (853)
54.9% (113)
Away
53.8% (832)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Horvat
Duchene
P1
55.0%
54.9%
P2
58.3%
52.7%
P3
57.8%
51.9%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |