Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Duchene 52.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Horvat
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Horvat
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
46.9% (162)
+8.7%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
73.2% (56)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
100.0% (2)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Horvat
Duchene
Home
58.8% (724)
58.4% (125)
Away
55.3% (751)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Horvat
Duchene
P1
57.0%
56.9%
P2
57.5%
52.5%
P3
57.0%
51.9%
OT
36.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |