Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Backlund 49.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 55.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Horvat
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Horvat
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
50.1% (891)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
53.1% (64)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
47.8% (278)
-1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backlund
Home
58.2% (469)
48.1% (580)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Horvat
Backlund
P1
59.6%
45.1%
P2
53.1%
54.7%
P3
55.5%
49.0%
OT
55.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |