Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Backlund 50.8% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Horvat
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Horvat
Backlund
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
2
Horvat
Backlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
4
Horvat
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
51.9% (1,083)
+2.8%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
51.7% (120)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
44.3% (183)
+7.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backlund
Home
59.8% (853)
51.9% (673)
Away
53.8% (832)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Horvat
Backlund
P1
55.0%
51.4%
P2
58.3%
50.5%
P3
57.8%
51.4%
OT
44.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 10:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 15:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |