Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Backlund 48.5% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 55.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 72.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Horvat
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Horvat
Backlund
Last 9: Horvat 6-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Horvat
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
1
Horvat
Backlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
50.4% (1,032)
+8.2%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
52.3% (107)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
40.6% (313)
+5.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backlund
Home
59.2% (684)
48.7% (749)
Away
57.0% (635)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Horvat
Backlund
P1
57.9%
50.4%
P2
55.4%
50.1%
P3
61.5%
45.8%
OT
53.8%
30.8%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:02 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |