Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Backlund 50.5% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Horvat
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Horvat
Backlund
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
4
Horvat
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.5% (983)
+4.1%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
49.4% (87)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
45.3% (159)
+3.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backlund
Home
58.8% (724)
51.6% (653)
Away
55.3% (751)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Horvat
Backlund
P1
57.0%
50.0%
P2
57.5%
49.8%
P3
57.0%
51.7%
OT
36.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |