Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Kelly 41.6% (+19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 57.5%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Horvat
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Horvat
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Horvat
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
36.3% (157)
+19.0%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
0.0% (1)
+62.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
45.5% (11)
+1.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +62.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Kelly is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kelly
Home
58.2% (469)
35.9% (78)
Away
54.0% (544)
37.4% (91)
By Period
Horvat
Kelly
P1
59.6%
34.3%
P2
53.1%
36.0%
P3
55.5%
40.4%
Final 5 min
59.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |