Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Thomas 51.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 62.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 62.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Horvat
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Horvat
Thomas
Last 9: Horvat 7-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Horvat
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
50.1% (615)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
62.2% (98)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
52.6% (114)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thomas
Home
58.2% (469)
51.9% (374)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Horvat
Thomas
P1
59.6%
49.2%
P2
53.1%
55.3%
P3
55.5%
50.6%
OT
55.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |